November 09, 2020

Pre-election polls had the democrats winning beg across the board. There was talk of a trifecta, where the democrats would take control of the White House , the Senate, an expand their margin in the US house of representatives. Projections also had the democrats taking control of the majority of the states’ legislatures, a key issue in next year’s congressional redistricting after the final census count. The polls and the pundits predicted a blue wave that did not materialize. In what follows we consider four alternative scenarios and matched them with previous experiences with similar conditions in order to get a sense of what to expect.

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