Report Detail Summary

Should We Worry About Inflation?

October 22, 2018

The dual mandate embodied in the Humphrey-Hawkins legislation effectively forces the Fed into a Phillips Curve type of relationship in which case one can argue that the success of the Trump Administration policies is forcing the Fedís hand to increase interest rates faster than they had previously anticipated. Critics of the Fed, including President Trump, have questioned whether the Fed attempt to crush the incipient inflation predicted by the Phillips Curve would lead to not only a lower inflation rate, but also to a lower real GDP growth rate. Hence if the Fed policy becomes too restrictive, it could derail the Trump economic expansion. That is President Trumpís fear about the Fed interest rate policy.

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The ValueTiming™ strategy is based on the assumption that politicians and policymakers have particular views of the world, and that they will in general adopt policy measures that are consistent with these views.


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